Carl Sagan's baloney detection kit
[Thu Oct 16 14:52:27 CDT 2025]

The folks at Open Culture share a video on Carl Sagan's baloney detection kit that should prove quite useful these days:

Here is a quick rundown of the nine principles:
  • Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the "facts."
  • Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
  • Arguments from authority carry little weight — “authorities” have made mistakes in the past. They will do so again in the future. Perhaps a better way to say it is that in science there are no authorities; at most, there are experts.
  • Spin more than one hypothesis. If there’s something to be explained, think of all the different ways in which it could be explained. Then think of tests by which you might systematically disprove each of the alternatives.
  • Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it’s yours. It’s only a way station in the pursuit of knowledge. Ask yourself why you like the idea. Compare it fairly with the alternatives.
  • See if you can find reasons for rejecting it. If you don’t, others will.
  • If whatever it is you’re explaining has some measure, some numerical quantity attached to it, you’ll be much better able to discriminate among competing hypotheses. What is vague and qualitative is open to many explanations.
  • If there’s a chain of argument, every link in the chain must work (including the premise) — not just most of them.
  • Occam’s Razor. This convenient rule-of-thumb urges us when faced with two hypotheses that explain the data equally well to choose the simpler. Always ask whether the hypothesis can be, at least in principle, falsified…. You must be able to check assertions out. Inveterate skeptics must be given the chance to follow your reasoning, to duplicate your experiments and see if they get the same result.
{link to this entry}

The Ortega Hypothesis on the advancement of science
[Wed Oct 15 10:57:11 CDT 2025]

Came across a reference to the Ortega Hypothesis, which I had never heard of before. According to the description on Wikipedia:

The Ortega hypothesis holds that average or mediocre scientists contribute substantially to the advancement of science. According to this hypothesis, scientific progress occurs mainly by the accumulation of a mass of modest, narrowly specialized intellectual contributions. On this view, major breakthroughs draw heavily upon a large body of minor and little-known work, without which the major advances could not happen.

Interestingly enough, as the Wikipedia entry itself clarifies, Ortega himself would most likely have disagreed with the hypothesis that was named after him, since he held "not that scientific progress is driven mainly by the accumulation of small works by mediocrities, but that scientific geniuses create a framework within which intellectually commonplace people can work successfully." One way or another, when it comes to this particular issues, as with many others, my position lies somewhere in the middle: yes, the work of a small amount of "geniuses" does advanced human knowledge, but it also does so thanks to the work and collaboration of a large amount of "mediocre" people who contribute to it. In other words, it's not an either-or option. {link to this entry}

FSF launches new LibrePhone project
[Wed Oct 15 09:05:13 CDT 2025]

I read that the Free Software Foundation (FSF) has launched a new LibrePhone project to create a fully free software OS for mobile devices. According to their official announcement:

Librephone is a new initiative by the FSF with the goal of bringing full freedom to the mobile computing environment. The vast majority of software users around the world use a mobile phone as their primary computing device. After forty years of advocacy for computing freedom, the FSF will now work to bring the right to study, change, share, and modify the programs users depend on in their daily lives to mobile phones.

(...)

Practically, Librephone aims to close the last gaps between existing distributions of the Android operating system and software freedom. The FSF has hired experienced developer Rob Savoye (DejaGNU, Gnash, OpenStreetMap, and more) to lead the technical project. He is currently investigating the state of device firmware and binary blobs in other mobile phone freedom projects, prioritizing the free software work done by the not entirely free software mobile phone operating system LineageOS.

So, basically, they are not working on a new mobile OS. Nor are they going to be releasing any hardware. They will just be working on an alternative, non-proprietary firmware. I cannot wait to be able to run a free mobile device like this. For a while now, I've been running GrapheneOS on my smartphone, and the experience has been good overall. I just ran into a minor issue recently when RCS stopped working for about a month or so after Google made some changes to the way they run things. I say "minor", but it wasn't such a minor thing on a personal level. The vast majority of people here in the US still use texting as a way to communicate. So, the problem with RCS meant that I was unable to see messages from a few chat groups all of a sudden. Since I use these to coordinate rides and school activities with other parents, that was a serious issue for me until the GrapheneOS developers fixed it. I know there are other alternatives available, such as the Librem 5 smartphone and Pine64. However, it't not clear to me there is a texting app based on free software that fully supports RCS. {link to this entry}

discover_other_daemon:1
[Wed Oct 15 07:24:30 CDT 2025]

After playing a bit with different terminal emulators and shells, I noticed the following warning every time I launched a new terminal:

	discover_other_daemon: 1
	
I had to do a search to find the cause. My .bash_profile included a line that started the gnome-keyring-daemon. I added that a few years back when I needed to solve another problem. However, it looks as if it is no longer needed because systemd takes care of starting the daemon. {link to this entry}